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Tropical Storm ERICK Forecast Advisory Number 18

2013-07-08 22:36:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUL 08 2013 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 082036 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052013 2100 UTC MON JUL 08 2013 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 110.8W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 45SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 110.8W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 110.5W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.6N 112.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.7N 113.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 25.4N 115.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.7N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N 110.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN/ZELINSKY

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Summary for Tropical Storm ERICK (EP5/EP052013)

2013-07-08 22:36:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...ERICK MOVING GENERALLY PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... As of 2:00 PM PDT Mon Jul 8 the center of ERICK was located near 22.6, -110.8 with movement NW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

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Tropical Storm ERICK Public Advisory Number 18

2013-07-08 22:36:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 PM PDT MON JUL 08 2013 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 082036 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERICK ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052013 200 PM PDT MON JUL 08 2013 ...ERICK MOVING GENERALLY PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.6N 110.8W ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.8 WEST. ERICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ERICK WILL BEGIN TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND ERICK IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. RAINFALL...ERICK IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ERICK ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN/ZELINSKY

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Tropical Storm ERICK Graphics

2013-07-08 19:53:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 08 Jul 2013 17:53:09 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 08 Jul 2013 15:06:22 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm ERICK (EP5/EP052013)

2013-07-08 19:52:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...ERICK PASSING VERY NEAR THE COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... As of 11:00 AM PDT Mon Jul 8 the center of ERICK was located near 22.3, -110.5 with movement NW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

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