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Summary for Tropical Storm ERICK (EP5/EP052013)
2013-07-07 22:41:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ERICK CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... As of 2:00 PM PDT Sun Jul 7 the center of ERICK was located near 20.3, -108.1 with movement WNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 996 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
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Tropical Storm ERICK Public Advisory Number 14
2013-07-07 22:41:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT SUN JUL 07 2013 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 072040 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERICK ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052013 200 PM PDT SUN JUL 07 2013 ...ERICK CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.3N 108.1W ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.1 WEST. ERICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A WEST- NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD TRACK IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE CENTER OF ERICK SHOULD PASS NEAR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA EARLY MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR BY EARLY MONDAY. RAINFALL...ERICK IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER JALISCO...NAYARIT...SINALOA...WESTERN DURANGO... AND THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ERICK ARE AFFECTING THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TODAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART
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Tropical Storm ERICK Forecast Advisory Number 14
2013-07-07 22:40:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN JUL 07 2013 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 072040 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052013 2100 UTC SUN JUL 07 2013 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 108.1W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 100SE 60SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 108.1W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 107.7W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.0N 109.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.0N 111.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.9N 112.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 23.9N 114.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.0N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 108.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART
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Tropical Storm ERICK Graphics
2013-07-07 19:37:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 07 Jul 2013 17:37:37 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 07 Jul 2013 15:03:45 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm ERICK (EP5/EP052013)
2013-07-07 19:37:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ERICK BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED... As of 11:00 AM PDT Sun Jul 7 the center of ERICK was located near 20.0, -107.7 with movement WNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 993 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.
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