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Tropical Storm ERICK Public Advisory Number 17
2013-07-08 16:43:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT MON JUL 08 2013 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 081443 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERICK ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052013 800 AM PDT MON JUL 08 2013 ...ERICK WEAKENS SLIGHTLY... ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD REACH THE COAST SOON... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.2N 110.0W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.0 WEST. ERICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY. ERICK IS EXPECTED TO MAKE ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ERICK IS FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. RAINFALL...ERICK IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ERICK ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN/ZELINSKY
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Tropical Storm ERICK Forecast Advisory Number 17
2013-07-08 16:42:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON JUL 08 2013 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 081442 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052013 1500 UTC MON JUL 08 2013 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 110.0W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 110.0W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 109.7W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 23.2N 111.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.3N 113.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.1N 114.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.6N 116.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 26.0N 118.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N 110.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN/ZELINSKY
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Tropical Storm ERICK Graphics
2013-07-08 13:52:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 08 Jul 2013 11:52:13 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 08 Jul 2013 09:06:30 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm ERICK (EP5/EP052013)
2013-07-08 13:49:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ERICK EDGING CLOSER TO THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... As of 5:00 AM PDT Mon Jul 8 the center of ERICK was located near 21.7, -109.7 with movement NW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 998 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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Tropical Storm ERICK Public Advisory Number 16A
2013-07-08 13:49:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 500 AM PDT MON JUL 08 2013 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 081149 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERICK INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052013 500 AM PDT MON JUL 08 2013 ...ERICK EDGING CLOSER TO THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.7N 109.7W ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.7 WEST. ERICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ERICK SHOULD PASS JUST SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA LATER THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. RAINFALL...ERICK IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ERICK ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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