je.st
news
Tag: erick
Tropical Storm ERICK Public Advisory Number 13A
2013-07-07 19:37:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1100 AM PDT SUN JUL 07 2013 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 071736 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERICK INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052013 1100 AM PDT SUN JUL 07 2013 ...ERICK BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.0N 107.7W ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.7 WEST. ERICK HAS WOBBLED WESTWARD DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST TRACK IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ERICK SHOULD PASS NEAR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA EARLY MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR BY EARLY MONDAY. RAINFALL...ERICK IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER JALISCO...NAYARIT...SINALOA...WESTERN DURANGO... AND THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ERICK ARE AFFECTING THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TODAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Tropical Storm ERICK Graphics
2013-07-07 17:07:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 07 Jul 2013 14:42:45 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 07 Jul 2013 15:03:45 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
erick
Tropical Storm ERICK Forecast Discussion Number 13
2013-07-07 16:41:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT SUN JUL 07 2013 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 071440 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM ERICK DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052013 800 AM PDT SUN JUL 07 2013 SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT ERICK IS WEAKENING. THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED WITH WARMING CLOUD TOPS AND NO SIGNS OF AN EYE IN THE LATEST MICROWAVE IMAGES. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 60 KT...WHICH IS A BLEND OF THE TAFB/SAB/CIMSS DVORAK ESTIMATES. IT SEEMS LIKELY THAT ERICK HAS PEAKED IN INTENSITY WITH THE CYCLONE NOW CROSSING OVER COOLER WATERS. A GRADUAL DECREASE IN WIND SPEED IS FORECAST...A BIT BELOW THE INTENSITY CONSENSUS AND THE PREVIOUS NHC PREDICTION. THE CYCLONE SHOULD BECOME POST-TROPICAL IN A COUPLE OF DAYS WHEN THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER SUB-22C WATER...IF NOT SOONER. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS 310/9. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES IS EXPECTED TO HOLD FIRM FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...CAUSING ERICK TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD...THEN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD AS IT BECOMES A MORE SHALLOW SYSTEM. MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS SHOW THE STORM PASSING SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...BUT CLOSE ENOUGH TO BRING TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS TO THE COAST. THE LATEST NHC FORECAST IS BASICALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ONE...BETWEEN THE FLORIDA STATE SUPERENSEMBLE AND THE DYNAMICAL MODEL CONSENSUS. BECAUSE ERICK IS MOVING AWAY FROM MAINLAND MEXICO...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 07/1500Z 20.0N 107.3W 60 KT 70 MPH 12H 08/0000Z 20.8N 108.5W 55 KT 65 MPH 24H 08/1200Z 21.9N 110.0W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 09/0000Z 23.0N 111.8W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 09/1200Z 24.0N 113.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 72H 10/1200Z 25.5N 117.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 11/1200Z 25.5N 119.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Summary for Tropical Storm ERICK (EP5/EP052013)
2013-07-07 16:39:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ERICK WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... As of 8:00 AM PDT Sun Jul 7 the center of ERICK was located near 20.0, -107.3 with movement NW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 989 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
erick
Tropical Storm ERICK Public Advisory Number 13
2013-07-07 16:39:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT SUN JUL 07 2013 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 071439 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERICK ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052013 800 AM PDT SUN JUL 07 2013 ...ERICK WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.0N 107.3W ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ABOUT 205 MI...335 KM WNW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.3 WEST. ERICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A NORTHWEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ERICK SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE FARTHER AWAY FROM SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO TODAY...AND PASS NEAR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA EARLY MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR BY EARLY MONDAY. RAINFALL...ERICK IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER JALISCO...NAYARIT...SINALOA...WESTERN DURANGO...AND THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ERICK ARE AFFECTING THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR TODAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Sites : [15] [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] [21] [22] [23] [24] [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] [30] [31] [32] [33] [34] next »