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Summary for Hurricane JIMENA (EP3/EP132015)

2015-08-31 10:51:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...MAJOR HURRICANE JIMENA QUICKLY MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE OPEN NORTHEAST PACIFIC... As of 2:00 AM PDT Mon Aug 31 the center of JIMENA was located near 15.3, -133.9 with movement WNW at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 936 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 150 mph.

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Hurricane JIMENA Public Advisory Number 19

2015-08-31 10:51:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 310850 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132015 200 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2015 ...MAJOR HURRICANE JIMENA QUICKLY MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE OPEN NORTHEAST PACIFIC... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.3N 133.9W ABOUT 1430 MI...2295 KM E OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...936 MB...27.64 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Jimena was located near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 133.9 West. Jimena is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h). The hurricane is expected to continue in the same direction at a slower rate of forward speed during the next two days. Maximum sustained winds are near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher gusts. Jimena is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Only some slow weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 936 mb (27.64 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Landsea

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Hurricane JIMENA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 19

2015-08-31 10:51:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2015 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 310850 PWSEP3 HURRICANE JIMENA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132015 0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2015 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 133.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 130 KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) 5(13) 1(14) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 13(29) 4(33) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 25N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 25N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA

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Hurricane JIMENA Forecast Advisory Number 19

2015-08-31 10:50:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2015 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 310850 TCMEP3 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132015 0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 133.9W AT 31/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 5 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 936 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..390NE 270SE 270SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 133.9W AT 31/0900Z AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 133.3W FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 15.7N 135.9W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.3N 137.9W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 16.9N 139.4W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.5N 140.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.5N 142.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 19.5N 143.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.5N 144.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 133.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA

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