je.st
news
Tag: discussion
ARI insights Users Can Access Discussion Forum on Hot Topics
2013-09-19 21:00:49| AutomotiveDigest.com - Automotive Industry News
ARI has introduced a Discussion Forum tool for users of ARI insights, the companys web-based and mobile fleet management system. Users can initiate or participate in online discussions and collaborate with other ARI insights system users within their company or organization. Features include an announcements board and a search feature, and will also highlight the [...]The Article ARI insights Users Can Access Discussion Forum on Hot Topics appeared first on Automotive Digest.
Tropical Depression HUMBERTO Forecast Discussion Number 37
2013-09-19 16:41:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST THU SEP 19 2013 000 WTNT44 KNHC 191441 TCDAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HUMBERTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 37 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092013 1100 AM AST THU SEP 19 2013 DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH HUMBERTO IS SPUTTERING THIS MORNING AND BARELY MEETS THE CRITERION NEEDED FOR MAINTAINING THE SYSTEM AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE. WHILE THE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND ATMOSPHERIC STABILITY ARE CONDUCIVE FOR CONVECTION...DRY CONDITIONS AND STRONG NORTHERLY VERTICAL SHEAR ARE LIKELY TO LEAD TOWARD THE SYSTEM BECOMING A REMNANT LOW BY 24 HOURS...IF NOT SOONER. ADDITIONALLY...ALL OF THE GLOBAL AND MESOSCALE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE ABSORBED BY THE APPROACHING LARGE EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE TO THE WEST OF HUMBERTO IN ABOUT A DAY. THE INTENSITY FORECAST MAINTAINS HUMBERTO AS A 30 KT CYCLONE UNTIL DISSIPATION...AS INDICATED BY THE DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE. THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF HUMBERTO HAS BEEN MOVING EASTWARD OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS WITH A LONGER TERM MOTION ESTIMATED AT 25 DEGREES AT 5 KT. HUMBERTO SHOULD ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD AS IT GETS SWEPT UP IN THE WARM SECTOR OF THE APPROACHING EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE DISSIPATION. THE TRACK FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE ONE IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND BASED UPON THE MULTI-MODEL TRACK ENSEMBLE. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/1500Z 32.8N 43.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 20/0000Z 34.2N 42.2W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 20/1200Z 36.8N 39.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression
Hurricane MANUEL Forecast Discussion Number 21
2013-09-19 16:40:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT THU SEP 19 2013 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 191440 TCDEP3 HURRICANE MANUEL DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132013 800 AM PDT THU SEP 19 2013 AN AMSR2 MICROWAVE OVERPASS AT 0854 UTC INDICATED THAT THE LOW- AND MID-LEVEL CENTERS OF MANUAL WERE STILL VERTICALLY ALIGNED... AND STILL LOCATED JUST OFFSHORE OF THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO. SINCE THAT TIME...RADAR IMAGES FROM GUASAVE MEXICO SHOW THAT CENTER CROSSED THE COAST TO THE WEST OF CULIACAN JUST AFTER 1200 UTC...WITH AN ESTIMATED 65-KT INTENSITY. THE EYE REMAINS FAIRLY WELL INTACT AT THIS TIME...SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 65 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. FIXES FROM THE RECENT MICROWAVE AND RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MANUEL IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 3 KT. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AND MANUEL SHOULD MOVE FARTHER INLAND. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AND MANUEL IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN 24 HOURS AND DISSIPATE OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN MEXICO IN 24 TO 36 HOURS...IF NOT SOONER. THE RADAR DATA SUGGEST THAT VERY HEAVY RAINFALL HAS FALLEN OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF SINALOA DURING THE NIGHT. ADDITIONAL RAINS FROM THIS SYSTEM ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES IN PORTIONS OF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/1500Z 25.0N 107.8W 65 KT 75 MPH 12H 20/0000Z 25.4N 107.7W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND 24H 20/1200Z 25.9N 107.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 36H 21/0000Z 26.5N 107.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Tags: number
discussion
manuel
forecast
Tropical Depression HUMBERTO Forecast Discussion Number 36
2013-09-19 10:34:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST THU SEP 19 2013 000 WTNT44 KNHC 190834 TCDAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HUMBERTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 36 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092013 500 AM AST THU SEP 19 2013 DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH HUMBERTO IS LIMITED TO A CLUSTER OF CELLS LOCATED 100-200 N MI SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE CYCLONE IS MAINTAINED AS A 30-KT TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOR THIS ADVISORY...BUT IT COULD BE CLOSE TO BECOMING POST-TROPICAL. THE GLOBAL MODELS HAVE ALL TRENDED TOWARDS SHOWING THE SURFACE WIND FIELD OF HUMBERTO OPENING UP INTO A TROUGH IN 12 TO 24 HOURS...AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE DEPRESSION COULD DISSIPATE EARLIER THAN WE HAVE BEEN INDICATING. FOR THE SAKE OF CONTINUITY...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS POINTS OUT TO 36 HOURS. IF IT DOES LAST THAT LONG...HUMBERTO SHOULD ULTIMATELY BE ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL ZONE BY 48 HOURS. A MORE WELL-DEFINED SURFACE CENTER HAS FORMED...BUT THAT NOW PUTS HUMBERTO ABOUT A DEGREE WEST OF THE PREVIOUS ESTIMATES. REGARDLESS...THE DEPRESSION IS STILL MOVING GENERALLY NORTHWARD AROUND 7 KT. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT FROM THE WEST IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE HUMBERTO TO TURN NORTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE WITHIN 24 HOURS AND THEN MAINTAIN THAT HEADING UNTIL IT IS ABSORBED. THE NHC TRACK FORECAST IS JUST A LITTLE WEST OF THE PREVIOUS ONE DURING THE FIRST 24 HOURS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE ADJUSTED INITIAL POSITION...BUT OTHERWISE THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/0900Z 33.0N 44.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 19/1800Z 34.5N 43.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 20/0600Z 36.3N 41.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 20/1800Z 38.6N 38.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 48H 21/0600Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT $$ FORECASTER BERG
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression
Hurricane MANUEL Forecast Discussion Number 20
2013-09-19 10:34:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT THU SEP 19 2013 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 190834 TCDEP3 HURRICANE MANUEL DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132013 200 AM PDT THU SEP 19 2013 THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF MANUEL HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO LOCATE IN GEOSTATIONARY IMAGERY OVERNIGHT...HOWEVER A SERIES OF MICROWAVE PASSES AND RADAR DATA FROM GUASAVE MEXICO SUGGEST THAT THE CENTER HAS REMAINED OFFSHORE THUS FAR...ALTHOUGH THE NORTHERN EYEWALL HAS BEEN OVER LAND FOR SEVERAL HOURS. MICROWAVE IMAGERY ALSO SUGGESTED SOME TILT TO THE CIRCULATION...WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER DISPLACED A BIT TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE MID-LEVEL CENTER. GIVEN THAT THE CENTER STILL APPEARS TO BE OFFSHORE...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 65 KT BASED ON THE LATEST DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM TAFB. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 355/03. THE AFOREMENTIONED MICROWAVE FIXES SHOWED THAT THE CENTER IS A LITTLE FARTHER WEST AND SOUTH THAN PREVIOUS ESTIMATES. WITH WEAK SYNOPTIC-SCALE STEERING... THE TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW LARGE SPREAD. THE NHC FORECAST WILL MAINTAIN CONTINUITY AND SHOW THE CENTER OF MANUEL MOVING SLOWLY INLAND NEAR THE COAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS GENERAL IDEA IS SUPPORTED BY THE GFS...ECMWF...FIM...AND HWRF MODELS. AN ALTERNATE SCENARIO IS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION OF MANUEL COULD DECOUPLE FROM THE MID/UPPER-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND LINGER OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA FOR THE NEXT 2 OR 3 DAYS...AS SHOWN BY THE UKMET. NEEDLESS TO SAY...CONFIDENCE REMAINS QUITE LOW IN THE TRACK FORECAST. AS MORE OF THE CIRCULATION MOVES OVER LAND IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS... WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN. WITH THE NHC TRACK FORECAST SHOWING THE CYCLONE REMAINING INLAND...THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR STEADY WEAKENING WITH DISSIPATION EXPECTED BY 72 HOURS. IF THE CENTER REMAINS OVER WATER LONGER...THE CIRCULATION COULD PERSIST LONGER AND WEAKEN SLOWER THAN SHOWN HERE. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/0900Z 24.8N 108.2W 65 KT 75 MPH 12H 19/1800Z 25.3N 108.2W 55 KT 65 MPH...INLAND 24H 20/0600Z 25.5N 108.3W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND 36H 20/1800Z 25.6N 108.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 48H 21/0600Z 25.7N 108.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 72H 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
Tags: number
discussion
manuel
forecast
Sites : [1198] [1199] [1200] [1201] [1202] [1203] [1204] [1205] [1206] [1207] [1208] [1209] [1210] [1211] [1212] [1213] [1214] [1215] [1216] [1217] next »