je.st

Home › blas

Tag: blas

Summary for Hurricane BLAS (EP3/EP032016)

2016-07-06 10:32:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...BLAS BEGINS TO WEAKEN... As of 2:00 AM PDT Wed Jul 6 the center of BLAS was located near 14.7, -122.7 with movement W at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 956 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 125 mph.

Tags: summary hurricane blas ep3ep032016

Hurricane BLAS Public Advisory Number 14

2016-07-06 10:32:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 AM PDT WED JUL 06 2016 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 060832 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE BLAS ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032016 200 AM PDT WED JUL 06 2016 ...BLAS BEGINS TO WEAKEN... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.7N 122.7W ABOUT 1010 MI...1625 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Blas was located near latitude 14.7 North, longitude 122.7 West. Blas is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the west-northwest is expected later today, and this west-northwestward motion is expected to continue through Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Blas is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir- Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Slow weakening is forecast today, followed by faster weakening on Thursday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 956 mb (28.23 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan

Tags: number public advisory hurricane

Hurricane BLAS Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14

2016-07-06 10:32:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC WED JUL 06 2016 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 060832 PWSEP3 HURRICANE BLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032016 0900 UTC WED JUL 06 2016 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 122.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN

Tags: number speed wind hurricane

Hurricane BLAS Forecast Advisory Number 14

2016-07-06 10:31:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC WED JUL 06 2016 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 060831 TCMEP3 HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032016 0900 UTC WED JUL 06 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 122.7W AT 06/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......130NE 130SE 70SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 120SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 122.7W AT 06/0900Z AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 122.1W FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 15.1N 124.2W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.7N 126.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.3N 128.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 16.9N 129.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 18.8N 132.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 21.0N 136.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 22.5N 140.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 122.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN

Tags: number advisory forecast hurricane