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Summary for Tropical Storm Kiko (EP3/EP132019)

2019-09-17 22:37:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...SATELLITE WINDS REVEAL A WEAKER KIKO... As of 2:00 PM PDT Tue Sep 17 the center of Kiko was located near 16.8, -125.1 with movement WSW at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 995 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.

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Tropical Storm Kiko Public Advisory Number 22

2019-09-17 22:37:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 PM PDT Tue Sep 17 2019 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 172037 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Kiko Advisory Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132019 200 PM PDT Tue Sep 17 2019 ...SATELLITE WINDS REVEAL A WEAKER KIKO... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.8N 125.1W ABOUT 1070 MI...1725 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 240 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kiko was located near latitude 16.8 North, longitude 125.1 West. Kiko is moving toward the west-southwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue today, followed by a turn to the west on Wednesday, and a west-northwestward motion Thursday into Friday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is anticipated for the next day or so, but after that time Kiko could gradually restrengthen into a hurricane by Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Blake

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Tropical Storm Kiko Forecast Advisory Number 22

2019-09-17 22:37:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 172037 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM KIKO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132019 2100 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 125.1W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 240 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 125.1W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 124.9W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 16.4N 125.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 16.2N 126.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.1N 127.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.5N 128.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.0N 130.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 17.0N 131.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 16.0N 133.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 125.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Tropical Storm Kiko Wind Speed Probabilities Number 22

2019-09-17 22:37:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 172037 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132019 2100 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 125W 34 4 4( 8) 4(12) 2(14) 2(16) 1(17) 1(18) 20N 125W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 15N 130W 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 19(28) 14(42) 6(48) 3(51) 15N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 4(12) 1(13) 15N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 20N 130W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 12(17) 10(27) 3(30) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 18(23) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Hurricane Kiko Graphics

2019-09-17 16:37:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 17 Sep 2019 14:37:45 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 17 Sep 2019 14:37:45 GMT

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