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Tropical Depression TWO Forecast Advisory Number 2

2016-05-28 04:30:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT MAY 28 2016 000 WTNT22 KNHC 280230 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016 0300 UTC SAT MAY 28 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SAVANNAH RIVER TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SOUTH CAROLINA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 75.9W AT 28/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 30SE 15SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 75.9W AT 28/0300Z AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 75.2W FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 30.0N 77.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 31.3N 78.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 32.2N 79.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 32.7N 79.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 33.5N 78.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 34.0N 77.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 34.5N 76.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.0N 75.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN

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Tropical Depression TWO Graphics

2016-05-28 01:37:43| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 27 May 2016 23:37:43 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 27 May 2016 21:03:33 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Depression TWO (AT2/AL022016)

2016-05-28 01:36:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...DEPRESSION MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST... As of 8:00 PM EDT Fri May 27 the center of TWO was located near 28.8, -75.1 with movement WNW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Tropical Depression TWO Public Advisory Number 1A

2016-05-28 01:36:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 800 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2016 000 WTNT32 KNHC 272336 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016 800 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2016 ...DEPRESSION MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST... SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.8N 75.1W ABOUT 400 MI...645 KM SE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA ABOUT 405 MI...655 KM ESE OF HILTON HEAD ISLAND SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Savannah River to Little River Inlet South Carolina A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Two was located near latitude 28.8 North, longitude 75.1 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. A reduction in forward speed is expected by Saturday night as the system nears the coast. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm later tonight or on Saturday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area by Saturday night, making outside preparations difficult. RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches from the upper coast of Georgia through eastern South Carolina and into southeastern North Carolina. STORM SURGE: Storm surge inundation of 1 to 2 feet above ground level is expected within the tropical storm warning area. SURF: This system is expected to produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along portions of the southeastern United States coast through the weekend. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan

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Tropical Depression TWO Graphics

2016-05-27 23:03:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 27 May 2016 20:50:00 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 27 May 2016 21:03:33 GMT

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