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Tropical Depression TWENTY-ONE-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2015-11-18 16:54:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1600 UTC WED NOV 18 2015 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 181554 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212015 1600 UTC WED NOV 18 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 107.2W AT 18/1600Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 107.2W AT 18/1600Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 107.2W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 13.3N 107.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 13.8N 107.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 14.8N 108.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.8N 110.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.4N 113.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 18.1N 114.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 20.5N 114.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 107.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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Tropical Depression TWELVE Graphics
2015-11-09 12:49:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 09 Nov 2015 11:49:15 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 09 Nov 2015 09:03:47 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression TWELVE (AT2/AL122015)
2015-11-09 12:46:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT EN ROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THE DEPRESSION NEAR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS... As of 7:00 AM EST Mon Nov 9 the center of TWELVE was located near 23.9, -75.0 with movement WNW at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression TWELVE Public Advisory Number 2A
2015-11-09 12:46:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 700 AM EST MON NOV 09 2015 000 WTNT32 KNHC 091146 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122015 700 AM EST MON NOV 09 2015 ...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT EN ROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THE DEPRESSION NEAR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS... SUMMARY OF 700 AM EST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.9N 75.0W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SE OF CAT ISLAND BAHAMAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of the Bahamas has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for the Southeastern Bahamas. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Central Bahamas * Northwestern Bahamas A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 700 AM EST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twelve was located near latitude 23.9 North, longitude 75.0 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). A turn toward the northwest and north-northwest is expected later today and tonight, followed by a turn toward the north and north-northeast on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of the depression is forecast to pass near or over portions of the central Bahamas this morning and near or over portions of the northwestern Bahamas this afternoon and tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or two, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected over portions of the southeastern and central Bahamas through this morning and will spread over portions of the northwestern Bahamas this afternoon. RAINFALL: The tropical depression is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over the Bahamas through tonight. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM EST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Stewart
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Tropical Depression TWELVE Graphics
2015-11-09 10:07:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 09 Nov 2015 08:40:06 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 09 Nov 2015 09:03:47 GMT
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twelve
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